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As the space around Earth fills with thousands of satellites from competing constellations, the ‘invisible threat’ of sub-centimeter debris grows larger.
Operators are forced to choose between costly course corrections based on imprecise models or risking their assets—and the cascading debris consequences of a smash.
The tension between commercial expansion in space and the lack of granular, actionable debris intelligence is now a direct threat to sustainability and business continuity.
The root difficulty lies in the technological and economic limitations of current earth-based radar and optical systems, which cannot reliably track or update the positions of smaller, faster-moving debris objects in real time and at the scale required by today’s densely populated orbits.
Ground-based tracking networks and basic in-orbit sensors provide low-resolution, infrequently updated, and often incomplete data.
These miss much of the small debris population and cannot deliver continuous, actionable alerts for dense constellation operators.
Category | Score | Reason |
---|---|---|
Complexity | 8 | Requires advanced multi-sensor integration, space-qualified payloads, ground architecture, secure API delivery, and cross-jurisdictional compliance. |
Profitability | 7 | Premium service, strong payer base (operators and insurers), limited commoditization, but protracted sales cycles with agencies/insurers. |
Speed to Market | 5 | Long lead time (24–36 months) for deployment, validation, and regulatory buy-in. Some timeline reductions possible via rideshare or data partnerships. |
Income Potential | 7 | Potential for €60–100M annual in Eurozone once established with top operators; scalable to global market if successful. |
Innovation Level | 8 | Combines in-orbit direct sensing with real-time, actionable analytics; significant leap over status quo. |
Scalability | 7 | Market expands with each new constellation and increased regulatory demand for SSA; deployment hampered mainly by capex, not demand. |
The Orbital Guardian Network operates by installing advanced sensor payloads on satellites across multiple constellations.
These sensors continuously scan for space debris using sophisticated algorithms to analyze reflections, velocities, and trajectories, even of sub-centimeter particles.
The data collected is transmitted in real-time to central processing units which synthesize this information to create a live, detailed map of debris.
Satellite operators access these maps via a secure digital platform where they receive alerts and recommendations for collision avoidance maneuvers.
The system will also include AI-enhanced predictive analytics for proactive mission planning and navigation.
The system offers a significant advancement over current debris tracking by providing high-resolution, real-time data, enabling informed and timely decisions, reducing collision risks, and thus extending satellite lifespan and reducing insurance premiums.
Commercial satellite operators; Space insurance firms; Governmental and defense satellite programs; Space traffic management authorities
Partnerships with leading satellite operators; Successful demonstration through pilot sensors on existing satellites
Modern sensor technology and AI algorithms enable the deployment of this solution with existing satellite developments.
Collaboration with current and planned satellite providers can spread deployment costs, and technical risks are manageable within current aerospace innovation levels.
However, significant investment is required to develop and validate the initial network.
Validation of sensor hardware for long-term space operation; Regulatory approval processes across jurisdictions; Establishing protocols for data sharing among competitive entities; Determining economic models for cost-sharing across satellite operators
This report has been prepared for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial research, investment advice, or a recommendation to invest funds in any way. The information presented herein does not take into account the specific objectives, financial situation, or needs of any particular individual or entity. No warranty, express or implied, is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided herein. The preparation of this report does not involve access to non-public or confidential data and does not claim to represent all relevant information on the problem or potential solution to it contemplated herein.
All rights reserved by nennwert UG (haftungsbeschränkt) i.G., 2025.